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U.S. crude oil and global benchmark Brent finished out the week about 3% lower, despite the fact that Iran and Israel traded direct strikes against each other's territory for the first time. Fears that oil prices could shoot to $100 a barrel or above did not materialize. The market has essentially erased the risk premium associated with the Iran-Israel tensions after traders bid up prices last week on war fears. "These skirmishes did not impress the oil markets, which believe that no disruption to oil flows will occur." Papic said a sustained war between Israel and Iran is difficult to imagine and may even be practically impossible.
Persons: Ali Mohammadi, Israel, Manish Raj, John Kilduff, Marko Papic, Papic, Brent, Kilduff, CNBC's Organizations: Persian Gulf, Bloomberg, Getty, Brent, Israel's, Israel, Traders, Velandara Energy Partners, Again, International Atomic Energy Agency, Clocktower Locations: Bandar Abbas, Iran, Israel, U.S, Damascus, Syria, Tehran
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMiddle East concerns have already been priced into oil markets, says Again Capital's John KilduffJohn Kilduff, Again Capital founding partner, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what needs to happen for oil prices to ease lower, how the White House is considering the oil market, and more.
Persons: Capital's John Kilduff John Kilduff Organizations: Capital
An anti-missile system operates after Iran launched drones and missiles towards Israel, as seen from Ashkelon, Israel April 14, 2024. Iran launched more than 300 drones and missiles against military targets in Israel on Saturday in an attack that President Joe Biden described as "unprecedented." The air assault was the first time Iran has directly attacked Israeli territory, senior U.S. military officials told reporters in a call Sunday. The attack was launched from locations in Iran, Iraq, Syria and Yemen, the officials said. More than 100 ballistic missiles were fired at Israel as well as land attack cruise missiles and drones, a senior administration official said.
Persons: Israel, Brent, Joe Biden, Biden, Daniel Hagari, John Kilduff, Netanyahu, Jorge Leon, Leon Organizations: The West Texas Intermediate, May, Nevatim Air Force Base, Israel Defense Forces, Again, Rystad Energy, Sunday, U.S, Islamic Locations: Iran, Israel, Ashkelon, U.S, The, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Damascus
Ukraine's campaign of attacks against Russian oil refineries is demonstrating how relatively cheap drones that utilize artificial intelligence could pose a major threat to global energy markets. Ukraine-launched drones have hit 18 Russian oil refineries this year with a combined capacity of 3.9 million barrels per day, according to report published by JPMorgan earlier this month. Some 670,000 bpd of Russian refining capacity is currently offline due to the strikes, according to the bank. "Certainly, those attacks could have a knock-on effect in terms of the global energy situation," Austin told the Senate Armed Services Committee. The deployment of AI drones also has broader implications for global energy markets, according to Bob Brackett, a senior research analyst at Bernstein.
Persons: Natasha Kaneva, Lloyd Austin, Biden, Austin, we've, John Kilduff, Bob Brackett, Bernstein, Brackett Organizations: Reuters, JPMorgan, Kyiv, . Defense, Senate Armed Services Committee, Financial, Again Locations: Ukraine, Ryazan, Ryazan Region, Russia, Taneco, Kyiv, Moscow, Russian, China, India
Mounting geopolitical tensions stemming from conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe have helped drive oil prices to five month highs, challenging the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation. U.S. crude oil gained 4.5% this week, touching $87 a barrel on Friday before settling at $86.91. Rising energy prices may affect the timing or magnitude of interest rate cuts, he said. The Federal Reserve is focused on bringing down core inflation, which excludes volatile energy and food prices. Escalating attacks are coming against a backdrop of an already tightening global crude market.
Persons: Brent, Bart Melek, Andy Lipow, Lipow, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Netanyahu, Manish Raj, White, Biden, John Kilduff, Kilduff, Melek, Saudi Arabia doesn't Organizations: Federal, American Automobile Association, West Texas, TD Securities, Lipow Oil Associates, Mizuho Americas, Valero, Philips, Marathon Petroleum, Velandera Energy Partners, Kyiv, JPMorgan, Financial Times, Again Capital, Bank of America, Saudi Locations: East, Eastern Europe, Iran, Israel, Ukraine, Damascus, Kyiv, Ukrainian, Russia, Saudi Arabia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEnergy and gas prices will fall after Memorial Day, says Again Capital CEOJohn Kilduff, Again Capital CEO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the chief executive's forecast for oil prices, OPEC's mission to lower global inventories, and much more.
Persons: John Kilduff Organizations: Email Energy, Capital
OPEC is facing growing challenges in its efforts to boost oil prices amid record output outside the alliance, particularly in the U.S., raising questions about how long the alliance can maintain its deep production cuts. The outcome is a "bittersweet victory" for OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia, wrote Jorge Leon, senior vice president of Rystad Energy, in a note Thursday. With oil prices down more than 14% since September highs, traders were hoping that OPEC could provide a boost. In the end, Saudi Arabia may have only one option — launch a supply war by flooding the market with oil. The 2.2 million bpd in voluntary cuts from the coalition of the willing is somewhat deceiving.
Persons: Jorge Leon, bode, Leon, Brent, Natasha Kaneva, Paul Sankey, John Kilduff, Kilduff, it's, Sankey, Kaneva, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Daan Struyven, Struyven Organizations: Rystad Energy, Traders, Sankey Research, U.S . Oil, U.S, OPEC, United Arab, Goldman Locations: U.S, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh, Saudi, China, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman
U.S. crude declined Thursday, erasing early gains, as traders grew more convinced that OPEC+, a group composed of OPEC plus its oil-producing allies, will not deliver on promised output cuts. Riyadh agreed to extend its voluntary production cut of 1 million barrels per day, a source in the Energy Ministry told the Saudi Press Agency. Iraq is cutting by 223,000 bpd, the United Arab Emirates 163,000 bpd, Kuwait 135,000 bpd, Kazakhstan 82,000 bpd, Algeria 51,000 bpd and Oman 42,000 bpd. OPEC+ has a major problem when it comes to cohesion and compliance on output cuts, said John Kilduff of Again Capital. "They have their hands full and to me it's not going to prove to be a winning strategy for them," he said of the output cuts.
Persons: Brent, Alexander Novak, Phil Flynn, Flynn, John Kilduff, Kilduff, CNBC's, it's Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, Energy Ministry, Saudi Press Agency, United Arab Emirates, Traders, Price Futures, U.S, OPEC, CNBC PRO Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman, Russia, Asia, China
[1/2] An aerial view shows a crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China January 4, 2023. Both contracts had their first weekly gain in five weeks as OPEC+ prepares for a meeting that will have output cuts high on the agenda after recent oil price declines on demand concerns and burgeoning supply, particularly from non-OPEC producers. OPEC+ has moved closer to a compromise with African oil producers on 2024 output levels, three OPEC+ sources have told Reuters. "Fundamentals developments have been bearish with rising U.S. oil inventories," ANZ analysts said in a note. Analysts say oil demand growth could weaken to about 4% in the first half of 2024 as the property sector crunch weighs on diesel use.
Persons: John Kilduff, Tony Sycamore, Brent, Craig Erlam, Tina Teng, Paul Carsten, Natalie Grover, Colleen Howe, David Goodman, Louise Heavens, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Brent, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters, OANDA, ANZ, Petrobras, Thomson Locations: Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, Gaza, OPEC, Wednesday's, WTI, Israel, New York, Russia, U.S, London, Beijing
"The oil suite remains rather stunned after the cancellation of Saudi Sunday," wrote John Evans of PVM Oil Associates in a note Friday. U.S. crude recovered most of Wednesday's intraday losses and trading has been relatively muted amid the Thanksgiving holiday with investors trying to digest the recent volatility. Europe demand headache for OPEC With the meeting delayed, investors are left with more bearish news on the demand side. "The likelihood of new demand coming from the continent is tantamount to zero giving more reason to be wary for oil investors and another layer of headache for OPEC," Evans wrote. "It's undermining the Saudi efforts to get the price really back to $100 a barrel plus," Kilduff told CNBC's " Power Lunch " on Wednesday.
Persons: John Evans, Brent, Evans, John Kilduff, PVM's Evans, Kilduff, CNBC's, PVM, Goldman Sachs, Michael Hsueh, Russia's Organizations: Organization of Petroleum, , PVM Oil Associates, West Texas Intermediate, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Bank of America Locations: China, Europe, Angola, Nigeria, Saudi, Riyadh, U.S, Russia, Moscow, Saudi Arabia
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPEC+ delay could cause bearishness in energy stocks short-term, says Again Capital's John KilduffJohn Kilduff, Again Capital founding partner, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss OPEC's meeting delay and what it means for oil stocks.
Persons: Capital's John Kilduff John Kilduff Organizations: Capital
U.S. crude oil prices entered a bear market this week, down 22% from September highs as traders wrangle over whether the spiral is driven by market fundamentals or just speculation. Phil Flynn, an oil market analyst with the Price Futures Group, said hedge funds have piled into short positions. There is still some "grind lower" in prices in store unless more positive data comes out of China, he said. If prices keep falling, the U.S. will slip from record production because shale producers will have trouble making money and stop investing, he said. The group has blamed speculators for the recent selloff and insisted market fundamentals are strong with China demand healthy.
Persons: Leo Mariani, Roth MKM, Phil Flynn, John Kilduff, Flynn, Kilduff, Matt Maley, Miller, Daniel Yergin, Yergin, Brent, — CNBC's Pippa Stevens Organizations: West Texas, Brent, Price Futures, Energy Information Agency, Again, Traders, P Global, Organization of, Petroleum, UBS, OPEC Locations: China, U.S, Canada, Brazil, Guyana, East, Israel, Persian, Hormuz
[1/2] The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 22, 2019. U.S. crude stocks rose by 3.6 million barrels last week to 421.9 million barrels, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), far exceeding analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.8 million-barrel rise. Diesel inventories fell more than expected at 1.4 million barrels. The International Energy Agency on Tuesday joined OPEC in raising oil demand growth forecasts for this year, despite projections of slower economic growth in many major countries. European Union diplomats said Russian oil tankers are not targeted in the European Commission's proposal for tightening implementation of a price cap on the country's crude oil.
Persons: Angus Mordant, Brent, John Kilduff, Arathy Somasekhar, Paul Carsten, Sudarshan Varadhan, Laura Sanicola, Marguerita Choy, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, HOUSTON, . West Texas, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Tuesday, Financial Times, Thomson Locations: Loving County , Texas, U.S, contango, Asia, New York, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Denmark, Houston, London
Oil's big slide: What you need to know
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil's big slide: What you need to knowJohn Kilduff, Again Capital founding partner, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss if oil price declines will continue, what the range of crude prices will be between now and the Spring, and more.
Persons: John Kilduff Organizations: Capital
REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummary Saudi Arabia and Russia supply cuts to remain until year-endChina's refinery throughput slows from record levelsEuro zone recession fears amplified by PMI dataHOUSTON, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged higher on Monday after top exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia reaffirmed their commitment to extra voluntary oil supply cuts until the end of the year. Russia also announced it would continue its additional voluntary cut of 300,000 bpd from its crude oil and petroleum product exports until the end of December. Oil prices rebounded after both benchmarks lost about 6% in the week to Nov. 3, as supply concerns driven by Middle East tensions eased. A weaker dollar also helped oil prices. Lower borrowing cost is likely to boost spending and demand for crude oil.
Persons: Agustin Marcarian, John Kilduff, Giovanni Staunovo, Huw Pill, Robert Harvey, Florence Tan, Colleen Howe, Deepa Babington, Mark Potter, Christina Fincher, Bill Berkrot Organizations: REUTERS, PMI, HOUSTON, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Saudi, Investors, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Vaca, Patagonian, Neuquen, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Russia, New York, OPEC, Gaza, U.S, China, Europe
REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummary Oil prices drop on Friday but gain over 1% for the weekHamas releases two US hostages in GazaEarlier, Israeli minister said troops to see Gaza 'from inside'Global oil market already faces supply concernsBENGALURU, Oct 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices settled lower on Friday after the Islamist group Hamas released two U.S. hostages from Gaza, leading to hopes the Israeli-Palestinian crisis could de-escalate without engulfing the rest of the Middle East region and disrupting oil supplies. Brent crude futures fell 22 cents, or 0.2%, to settle at $92.16 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures for November delivery , which expired after settlement on Friday, fell 62 cents, or 0.7%, to $88.75 a barrel. Hamas' armed wing released two U.S. hostages from Gaza - a mother and her daughter - "for humanitarian reasons" in response to Qatari mediation efforts in the war with Israel, its spokesman Abu Ubaida said on Friday. "The report took some of the risk premium out of the market," said Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures Group.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Abu Ubaida, Phil Flynn, Yoav Gallant, John Kilduff, Kilduff, Giovanni Staunovo, Brent, Staunovo, Shariq Khan, Paul Carsten, Florence Tan, Sudarshan, Shri Navaratnam, Jason Neely, David Gregorio, Jane Merriman Organizations: REUTERS, Hamas, Brent, . West Texas, Price Futures, Israeli, Pentagon, UBS, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Gaza, BENGALURU, Hamas, Israel, Yemen, New York, Saudi Arabia, Russia
A person puts gas in a vehicle at a gas station in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 11, 2022. Brent crude futures rose $1.00, or 1.1%, to $93.26 a barrel by 11:24 a.m. EDT (1524 GMT). Both front-month contracts were headed for a second weekly gain on heightened fears of the Middle East conflict spreading. "The Middle East remains a big focus of the market because of fears of a region-wide conflict that would likely involve a disruption of oil supplies," said John Kilduff, a partner at New York-based Again Capital. "Venezuelan oil production will not be a significant factor in shaping the global oil balance in the foreseeable future," Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM wrote in a note.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Brent, John Kilduff, Kilduff, Yoav Gallant, Washington's, Phil Flynn, Tamas Varga, PVM, Shariq Khan, Paul Carsten, Florence Tan, Sudarshan, Shri Navaratnam, Jason Neely, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, . West Texas, Israeli, Pentagon, . Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Price Futures, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Gaza, Venezuela, BENGALURU, Israel, New York, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell by 0.29 cents, or 0.37%, to $87.30 a barrel. Easing sanctions on Venezuela's oil industry could result in increased oil supply. "It's more of the same on Monday in terms of the conflict in the Middle East being contained from affecting crude oil supplies," said John Kilduff, partner with Again Capital LLC. Both oil benchmarks had climbed nearly 6% on Friday, taking Brent 7.5% higher on the week and WTI up 5.9%. Crude oil storage tanks are seen in an aerial photograph at the Cushing oil hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, U.S. April 21, 2020.
Persons: Israel, Brent, John Kilduff, Antony Blinken, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, Putin, John Evans, Robert Harvey, Yuka Obayashi, Emily Chow, Susan Fenton, David Evans, Deepa Babington, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Monday HOUSTON, . West Texas, Traders, Brent, REUTERS, U.S, Israeli, United, US, Thomson Locations: Venezuela, Gaza, Israel, U.S, Barbados, Palestinian, Cushing , Oklahoma, Rafah, Egypt, Israel's, Russia, Iran, Syria, United States, Moscow, Russian, Saudi, London, Tokyo
Oil falls more that $1 a barrel on Venezuela deal hopes
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"The reported deal ... would help to raise the country's oil output from very depressed levels," said William Jackson, chief emerging markets economist for Capital Economics. Monday's falling prices appeared to "a breather to take in events in the Middle East" as opposed to expected production increases in Venezuela, said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates. "Negotiations with Venezuela could lead to a surge in exports of crude oil that is already in inventory," Lipow said. "It's more of the same on Monday in terms of the conflict in the Middle East being contained from affecting crude oil supplies," said John Kilduff, partner with Again Capital LLC. Heightened tensions in the Middle East may have compounded other risk factors to push prices higher last week, market sources said.
Persons: William Jackson, Jackson, Andrew Lipow, Lipow, John Kilduff, Vladimir Putin, Putin, John Evans Organizations: U.S . West Texas, Capital Economics, Brent, Lipow Oil Associates, Traders, Hamas, LLC, U.S Locations: U.S, Venezuela, Israel, Venezuelan, Gaza, Russia, Iran, Syria, Egypt, Moscow, Russian, Saudi
Along with mild winter weather in much of the northern hemisphere, Chinese fuel exports helped avert widespread shortages of diesel, heating oil and gasoil. Russia's ban on diesel exports ahead of winter has sparked a new round of concerns of another supply shock. Chinese fuel exports are currently around 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd), down from last year's peak at 1.8 million bpd in December. China's fuel exports are subject to quotas, closely monitored by the global fuel trading community. China also has quotas for imports of crude oil that refiners use to make diesel and other products.
Persons: Meng Meng, John Kilduff, Matt Smith, Al Zour, Kpler, Laura Sanicola, Trixie Yapl, Simon Webb, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, Total, Al, Diesel, U.S . East, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Thomson Locations: Boxing, Shandong Province, China, U.S, Ukraine, Europe, Americas, Brazil, Turkey, New York, Beijing, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Asia, Middle, Western Europe, America, U.S . East Coast
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAtlantic Council CEO Fred Kempe: You can't fix Hamas without addressing IranFred Kempe, CEO of the Atlantic Council, Ayham Kamel, Middle East and North Africa practice head at the Eurasia Group, and John Kilduff, Again Capital founder, join 'The Exchange' to discuss President Biden's anticipated remarks on the Israel-Hamas conflict and more.
Persons: Fred Kempe, Iran Fred Kempe, Ayham Kamel, John Kilduff, Biden's Organizations: Email Atlantic, Atlantic Council, Eurasia Group, Capital Locations: Iran, Middle East, North Africa, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Atlantic Council's Fred Kempe, Eurasia Group's Ayham Kamel, and Again Capital's John KilduffFred Kempe, CEO of the Atlantic Council, Ayham Kamel, Middle East and North Africa practice head at the Eurasia Group, and John Kilduff, Again Capital founder, join 'The Exchange' to discuss President Biden's anticipated remarks on the Israel-Hamas conflict and more.
Persons: Fred Kempe, Eurasia Group's Ayham Kamel, John Kilduff Fred Kempe, Ayham Kamel, John Kilduff, Biden's Organizations: Atlantic, Atlantic Council, Eurasia Group, Capital Locations: Eurasia, Middle East, North Africa, Israel
To be sure, even with Monday's advance, oil prices remain well off their late September peaks. In addition to receiving a lift from crude's gain, Coterra is benefiting from the continued strength in natural gas. On Monday, natural gas futures rose another 1%, to around $3.37 per million British thermal units. Last week, natural gas surged 14% to reach its highest price since late January. The stock's massive outperformance Friday means that any financial benefit Pioneer would receive from Monday's higher oil prices was already captured in the session prior.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Israel, Brent, WTI, John Kilduff, Jim Cramer, Jim, Pioneer's, CNBC's David Faber, Exxon's, Jim Cramer's, Richard Eden Organizations: Hamas, Natural Resources, Coterra Energy, West Texas, Brent, Gaza, CNBC, Energy, State Street Global Advisors, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Exxon Mobil, Journal, Club, Exxon, Denbury Inc, Silhouette, Getty Locations: Palestinian, Israel, U.S, Palestinian Territories, Houston, Midland , Texas
Global benchmark Brent crude futures and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures have declined about $10 a barrel in less than 10 days after edging close to $100 in late September. Brent futures settled $1.74, or 2.03%, lower at $84.07, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were $1.91, or 2.3%, lower at $82.31. Government data on Wednesday also showed a sharp decline in U.S. gasoline demand. Finished motor gasoline supplied, a proxy for demand, fell last week to its lowest since the start of this year. On Thursday, the Turkish energy minister said a crude oil pipeline from Iraq through Turkey, which has been suspended for about six months, was ready for operations.
Persons: Brent, Dennis Kissler, Bob Yawger, Long, Andy Lipow, John Kilduff, Arathy Somasekhar, Paul Carsten, Katya Golubkova, Marguerita Choy, David Gregorio, Sharon Singleton, Jane Merriman Organizations: HOUSTON, Brent, . West Texas, U.S, West Texas, BOK Financial, Oil, Organization of, Petroleum, Mizuho, Lipow Oil Associates, New York ., Data, Thomson Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, New York, New York . U.S, U.S, Iraq, Turkey, Houston, London, Tokyo, Singapore
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices will likely retreat from their highs into year-end, says Again Capital's John KilduffJohn Kilduff, Again Capital Founding Partner, discusses the outlook for oil following record high prices in September.
Persons: Capital's John Kilduff John Kilduff
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